Anchoring and adjustment describe the tendency to rely on an initial value when evaluating later information. In cryptocurrency markets, traders often fixate on an entry price, an all-time high, or a viral forecast and allow that figure to shape decisions even after conditions change.
Why the bias persists in crypto
Rapid price swings and nonstop commentary promote a search for reference points. Once a number lodges in memory, it becomes a mental shortcut that guides subsequent trades.
Examples in practice
- A trader bought Bitcoin at USD 60,000. After a fall to 40,000 and a rebound to 45,000, the position remains open because 60,000 still feels like fair value.
- A prediction places Ether at 10 000. Weeks later, portfolio choices still revolve around that target despite shifting macro data.
Consequences for decision-making
- Holding losing positions while waiting for a return to the anchor.
- Selling winners at a preset price instead of following fresh signals.
- Mapping support or resistance levels to anchored numbers rather than objective data.
Ways to limit the impact
- Review positions with current fundamentals and technical indicators.
- Use stop-loss and take-profit orders to enforce discipline.
- Treat public forecasts as opinions rather than definitive benchmarks.