The required rate of return is the minimum return an investor must earn on an investment to justify taking on its level of risk. If an investment cannot realistically produce at least this return, a rational investor should decline it. The concept applies equally to individual investors choosing between stocks and bonds, companies evaluating new projects, and lenders setting interest rates on loans.
Think of it as the minimum wage of investing: below this line, the risk is not worth it.
Investors who put money into anything risky, whether stocks, real estate, or a startup, are forgoing other uses of that capital. The minimum they need to earn is the risk-free rate, typically approximated by U.S. Treasury yields, plus a premium that compensates for the specific risks of the investment.
If the 10-year Treasury yields 4.5% and an investor requires an additional 6% to compensate for the volatility of owning equities, their required rate of return for stocks is 10.5%. Any stock valued such that it cannot plausibly return 10.5% annually is not worth buying at that price.
The most widely used framework for calculating the required rate of return is the Capital Asset Pricing Model. The formula adds a premium above the risk-free rate based on how sensitive the investment is to market movements, measured by a factor called beta.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model formula is: Required return = Risk-free rate + Beta × (Market return - Risk-free rate). The term in parentheses is the equity risk premium, the extra return investors historically demand for holding stocks over Treasury bills. If the risk-free rate is 4.5%, beta is 1.3, and the equity risk premium is 6%, the required return is 4.5% + 1.3 × 6% = 12.3%.
A beta above 1.0 means the investment moves more than the market, amplifying both gains and losses. A beta below 1.0 means it is more stable than the market. Higher beta means higher required return.
Companies use the required rate of return to evaluate new investments. When a company's management considers building a new factory or acquiring a competitor, they compare the expected return on that investment to the company's weighted average cost of capital. The weighted average cost of capital represents the overall required return of the company's capital providers, blending the cost of equity and after-tax cost of debt weighted by their proportions in the capital structure.
If a project is expected to return 8% and the weighted average cost of capital is 10%, the project destroys value. If the expected return is 14%, the project creates value. This comparison drives every major capital allocation decision a public company makes.
Individual investors adjust their required rate of return based on personal circumstances. Someone saving for retirement in 30 years can accept higher volatility and requires a return that substantially outpaces inflation. Someone funding college tuition in two years requires a modest return but cannot accept large drawdowns, so their required rate is lower and their risk tolerance is lower.
Required rate of return is not one number that applies to all investors. It is investor-specific, time-horizon-specific, and purpose-specific.